Non-Punt Club Bets

Hey guys, thought I'd put this here to give people a chance to track their bets when they aren't punt club's designated bettor. I in particular fancy my chances taking on the tackle lines, which at the least are being run on Sportsbet, William Hill and Luxbet. I'll be emailing my tips out as early as I can, and i'll keep a tally here of how I do on anything I send out at least 30 mins before kick off (so that people have a chance to tail me if they desire).

Anyone that wants to do the same should feel free.

Not a bad start to my tips.

1.5u Hoffman under 24.5 tackles @ 1.85 Loss
2.5u Hoffman under 27.5 tackles @ 1.70 Win
1.5u Mannering over 46.5 tackles @ 1.85 Win
2u Fensom over 44.5 tackles @ @ 1.85 Win

YTD

Bet - Return - Profit
7.5 - 9.8 - 2.3

I had more bets personally, it was hard to email them out on time though. I'll try to get on top of it.

2.5u Kade Snowden u37.5 @ 1.87 Win
1.5u Wade Graham u26.5 @ 1.87 Loss
2u Robbie Farah u44.5 @ 1.87 Loss
1u Jesse Bromwich u35.5 @ 1.87 Win
2u Ethan Lowe o36.5 @ 1.87 Loss
2.5u James Segeyaro u40.5 @ 1.87 Loss

Shit week. 3 of them missed by 2 tackles or less, and I obviously underestimated Seggy.

This week

Bet - Return - Profit
11.5 - 6.55 - (-4.95)

YTD

Bet - Return - Profit
19 - 16.35 - (-2.65)

2u Tariq Sims o34.5 tackles @ 1.87 Win
1u Paul Gallen u37.5 tackles @ 1.87 Win
1u Wade Graham u28.5 tackles @ 1.87Loss
1.5u Isaac Luke o33.5 tackles @ 1.87 Win

This week
Bet - Return - Profit
5.5 - 8.42 - 2.92

YTD
Bet - Return - Profit
24.5 - 24.72 - 0.22

The NBA is starting and i'm pretty excited!

A few futures I put on months ago are...

Myles Turner - ROTY: 1 Unit @ $81. (Has since moved into $13)
Stanley Johnson - RPTY: 1 Unit @ $13 (Has since moved into $7)
Kawhi Leonard - MVP: 1 Unit @ $41. (Has since moved into $23)

Wini owed me $50 from punt club trip so I told him to put in on Jahlil Okafor @ $6 but he didn't and the next week he moved into $4 so I stayed away, but i'll still be keeping an eye on it.

Also William Hill have released their season win lines and some other fun markets which ill have a look at before when I get a chance.

I'm going to try to start posting on here pretty regularly and to keep track of my YTD, hopefully others follow and we can get something going.

I put 100 bones on Emmanuel Mudiay ROTY at $5.50, it doesn't matter what he has moved to because it will win!

My first bet for the year was $50 on the Spurs to win the championship @ $4.50. LaMarcus Aldridge is a huge signing for them, and they've got arguably the best coach in the league. Main concern would be that the likes of Duncan, Parker and Ginobli start feeling their age, but tipping that would be in the same vein as passing up Cameron Smith in round one of the draft.

As stated in the email, it's also a $5 bonus bet for every win they get before January.

Pretty sure you needed to be selected for that, looked and couldn't find it anywhere.

Anyway just finished my over/unders for season wins...

Boston Celtics: 42.5 Wins - Overs, 2 Units @ $1.74 (Sportsbet)
Indiana Pacers: 40.5 Wins - Overs, 2 Units @ $1.87 (Sportsbet)
Indiana Pacers: 41.5 Wins - Overs, 1 Unit BB @ $1.80 (Luxbet)
Cleveland Cavaliers: 56.5 Wins - Unders, 2 Units @ $2.00 (Crownbet)
Miami Heat: 46.5 Wins - Overs, 2 Units @ $1.82 (Crownbet)

Also threw on...

Jahlil Okafor: Rookie of the Year - 1 Unit @ $5.00 (Crownbet)
Damian Lillard: Scoring Title - 1 Unit @ $11.00 (Sportsbet)
James Harden: Season MVP - 1 Unit BB @ $7.50 (Luxbet)

I've been using CBS Sports expert predictions for my NFL betting this year and am killing it.

So looking at CBS's four experts unanimous selections for win totals, I have the following:

Best: Mavs under 40.5 (Ladbrokes)

Celtics under 45.5 (Lux)
Hornets under 34 (Lux)
Nuggets over 26.5 (Ladbrokes)
Pistons under 36.5 (Crown)
Pacers under 41.5 (Crown)
Heat over 46.5 (Crown)
Timberwolves under 27.5 (Crown)
Suns over 36.5 (Crown)

After re-checking the promo email they sent me, it was for the original email recipient only. Also, the promo ends at Christmas, not New Years. Should sign up for sportsbet email promos if you've got an account with them, most of the deals are ok, and they don't completely spam your inbox.

After listening to the Bill Simmon's Podcast i've decided to throw on...
Houston Rockets: 55.5 Wins - Overs, 2 Units @ $1.90 (William Hill)

Also for today's games...
Tristan Thomspon: 7.5pts - Under, 1 Unit @ $1.87 (William Hill)

I wont count this in any totals as I forgot to list this pre-game, but I've got 1 unit on Bulls 1-10 (currently 40-46 at the half) @ $2.41.

For the late game i've got Anthony Davis over 10.5 rebounds 1 unit @ $1.87.

Tristan Thomspon: 7.5pts - Under, 1 Unit @ $1.87 (William Hill) - WIN

TT ended the game with 25mins, 12 reb and most importantly 2 points on 1-4 shooting.

Plenty more action today! Put a sneaky multi on to start off the day...

-MULTI-
Philadelphia 76ers (+11.5) vs Boston Celtics @ $1.91
Indiana Pacers (+5.5) vs Toronto Raptors @ $1.91
Cleveland Cavaliers (1-10) vs Memphis Grizzlies @ $4.05
New Orleans Pelicans (1-10) vs Portland Trail Blazers @ $3.10
0.25 Units @ $45.80

Detroit Pistons (To Win) vs Utah Jazz: 1 Unit @ $2.00
Jimmy Butler - Over 19 Pts: 1 Unit @ $1.95

YTD 1-0 (-1u)

No good with my Davis bet. Watching him, he spent most of the game nowhere near the post, so if he doesn't revert back I can see the unders on his rebounds being a good deal until the betting agencies lower his line.

Today's bets:

Multi
Bulls @ Nets - $1.43
Hornets @ Heat - $1.34
Cavaliers @ Grizzlies - $1.46
Clippers @ Kings $ 1.41

Total 1.5u @ $3.94

Timberwolves @ Lakers 1u @ $2.24

Pelicans @ Trailblazers 1u @ $2.21

Detroit Pistons (To Win) vs Utah Jazz: 1 Unit @ $2.00 - WIN
Jimmy Butler (Over 19 Pts) vs Nets: 1 Unit @ $1.95 - WIN
Multi: .25 Unit @ $45.80 - LOSS

Don't like too much today...

YTD: 3-1 (+2.52u)

New York Knicks (Largest Winning Margin in Today's Games) vs Atlanta Hawks: .5 Unit @ $11 (William Hill)

YTD 4.5 - 2.24 (-2.26u)

Grizzlies were terrible against the Cavs to kill the multi.  I really thought the trailblazers would be one of the worse teams this year, and thought the Pelicans showed enough against the Warriors to think they would handle this game, apparently not though. Timberwolves were my only winner of the day, luckily the Lakers missed the last shot of the game to lose by a point.

One bet today

Multi:
Grizzlies @ Pacers - $1.69
Mavericks @ Clippers Over 211.5 - $1.91

1.5u @ $3.22

2 Bets for tomorrow...

Miami Heat (+6.5) vs Cleveland Cavaliers: 1 Unit @ $1.91
Charlotte Hornets (+5.5) vs Atlanta Hawks: 1 Unit @ $1.91

Then I threw on a 12 leg hail mary multi for funsies!
Heat to win vs Cavs,
Any Other Result (Wire to Wire) - Jazz vs Sixers
Thunder vs Magic - Over 208.5pts
Raptors to win vs Celtics
Jimmy Butler +20.5pts
Bucks to win vs Wizards
Hornets to win vs Hawks
Joe Johnson +13.5pts
Wolves to win vs Nuggets
Any Other Result (Wire to Wire) - Warriors vs Rockets
Any Other Result (Wire to Wire) - Lakers vs Kings
Any Other Result (Wire to Wire) - Blazers vs Suns

Paying $7656

Miami Heat (+6.5) vs Cleveland Cavaliers: 1 Unit @ $1.91 - LOSS
Charlotte Hornets (+5.5) vs Atlanta Hawks: 1 Unit @ $1.91 - WIN

Then I threw on a 12 leg hail mary multi for funsies!
Heat to win vs Cavs - LOSS
Any Other Result (Wire to Wire) - Jazz vs Sixers- LOSS
Thunder vs Magic - Over 208.5pts - WIN
Raptors to win vs Celtics - WIN
Jimmy Butler +20.5pts - WIN
Bucks to win vs Wizards - LOSS
Hornets to win vs Hawks - LOSS
Joe Johnson +13.5pts - LOSS
Wolves to win vs Nuggets - WIN
Any Other Result (Wire to Wire) - Warriors vs Rockets - LOSS
Any Other Result (Wire to Wire) - Lakers vs Kings - LOSS
Any Other Result (Wire to Wire) - Blazers vs Suns - LOSS

YTD 6-2.24 (-3.76u)

My multi at the end of last week was scuppered by ordinary shooting in the first quarter, then the Clippers absolutely running away with the game so that the 4th quarter was no contest.

Multi
Spurs @ Knicks
Thunder @ Rockets
Trailblazers @ Timberwolves
Suns @ Clippers
Grizzlies @ Warriors

2u @ $3.64

LaMarcus Aldridge Points + Rebounds Over 28.5 - 1.5u @ $1.80

Thunder -6.5 @ Rockets - 1u @ $2.25

YTD 4-4 (+1.86u)

Kawhi Leonard & Carmelo Anthony: Combined Over 44.5 Pts - 1 Unit @ $1.87
Kevin Love: Over 29.5 Points & Rebounds - 1 Unit @ $1.83

YTD 10.5-2.24 (-7.76u)

Having no luck of late, going to go back and study some form before I have another crack at this...

Kawhi Leonard & Carmelo Anthony: Combined Over 44.5 Pts - 1 Unit @ $1.87 (LOSS)
- I screwed myself over with this one. Kawhi has been a beast on defense and really has kept everyone he has marked at unders for the season. I think they ended up around 39pts.

Kevin Love: Over 29.5 Points & Rebounds - 1 Unit @ $1.83 (LOSS)
- Did not make as many rebounds as i was expecting.

YTD 4-6 (-0.14u)

Today:
- Pacers to lead after all 4 quarters (@ Home) vs The Celtics: 1 unit @ $4.85
- Lead to change at the end of any quarter - 76's vs Bucks: 1 unit @ $2.15

Today:
- Pacers to lead after all 4 quarters (@ Home) vs The Celtics: 1 unit @ $4.85 WIN
(Never in doubt)

- Lead to change at the end of any quarter - 76's vs Bucks: 1 unit @ $2.15 LOSS
(This should have won, 6ers found every way possible to get behind just before every break)

YTD 5-7 (+2.71u)